Economics · live
Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard
Rate-cut and rate-hike markets for every FOMC meeting: implied odds, their history into the meeting, the macro wallets with the best month and the big prints before the decision. The cleanest read on what the market expects the Fed to do.
Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard
sample data
Fed & rates markets by 24h volume
Smart-money conviction · Fed & rates
Odds history · spotlight market
Top Fed & rates wallets · 30-day P&L
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pollwatcher | $1.9M | $182k | 0.112 | 0.540 | $16.6M |
| gondor_gambit | $1.9M | $143k | 0.162 | 0.610 | $11.9M |
| tailrisk.eth | $1.4M | $131k | 0.128 | 0.700 | $11.0M |
| 0x4f1e…c9a2 | $1.3M | $117k | 0.105 | 0.580 | $12.6M |
| 0xa07b…11de | $1.1M | $89k | 0.086 | 0.680 | $12.3M |
| quietwhale | $917k | $79k | 0.083 | 0.700 | $11.1M |
| deltaneutral | $857k | $59k | 0.079 | 0.690 | $10.9M |
| 0x91cc…77f0 | $674k | $41k | 0.076 | 0.580 | $8.8M |
| marginofsafety | $481k | $24k | 0.076 | 0.560 | $6.3M |
| lineshopper | $399k | $13k | 0.113 | 0.530 | $3.5M |
Who is buying Fed & rates right now
Fed & rates tape · $5k+
- Chiefs vs. Bills$7k
- Eagles vs. Cowboys$43k
- Ravens vs. Steelers$53k
- Fed cuts rates in December?$54k
- Government shutdown by Nov 30?$56k
- Senate passes the budget by year end?$37k
- Bitcoin above $150k on Dec 31?$10k
- Ethereum above $6k in November?$17k
- Chiefs vs. Bills$17k
- Eagles vs. Cowboys$42k
- Ravens vs. Steelers$33k
- Fed cuts rates in December?$42k
FAQ
- How do these compare to CME FedWatch?
- Both imply probabilities; Polymarket's come from a cash market with real positions, and the dashboard adds who holds them.
More economics dashboards
Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server. Want to shape it differently? See the query language.